Fears are rising across the Gulf region as United States–Iran talks narrow to the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear enrichment, sidelining missiles and regional proxies. Dmitry Medvedev warned the chokepoint itself acts like a “non-nuclear weapon,” amplifying Tehran’s leverage over global energy flows. Gulf states fear diplomacy may legitimize Iran’s strategic grip rather than reduce tensions. As negotiations in Islamabad loom, regional powers question whether the talks can deliver real de-escalation or simply formalize a new balance where Hormuz becomes Iran’s most powerful bargaining chip.