Russia is suspected of launching a rare Oreshnik intermediate‑range ballistic missile from the Kapustin Yar range toward Lviv, striking critical energy infrastructure in what could be only the second known use of the system against Ukraine after a 2024 “combat test” on a Dnipro arms plant, though Kyiv’s military is still assessing the damage and has not yet formally confirmed an IRBM strike. The reported launch, foreshadowed by warnings from President Volodymyr Zelensky, comes amid Kremlin fury over U.S. moves against the sanctioned tanker Bella 1 and heightens fears that Moscow is signalling nuclear‑threshold capabilities as it tries to rattle Ukraine and deter Washington at the same time.