Did Israel and the U.S. overestimate the possibility of regime change in Iran? Reports suggest Mossad chief David Barnea briefed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with a strategy that could potentially destabilize Iran by targeting leadership and key institutions. While early expectations hinted at internal unrest and possible collapse, the reality on the ground appears far more complex. As the conflict evolves, objectives have shifted toward limiting Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities rather than pursuing outright regime change. This raises critical questions about intelligence assessments, strategic miscalculations, and the future of the Iran conflict.