The global oil market is facing fresh uncertainty after the UAE’s shock exit from OPEC+. While the cartel has announced a modest output increase, analysts say the move is largely symbolic amid massive disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. War-driven supply shocks have wiped out far more oil than the planned increase can replace. With Abu Dhabi now free to pump at full capacity, questions are growing about OPEC+ unity and its ability to manage prices. As tensions persist in the Gulf, the balance of power in global energy markets may be shifting rapidly.